Originally published in 1994 and the recipient of the Stonier Library Award, this volume evaluates an alternative approach – the sequential filter- to managing the uncertainty inherent in the future course of the interest rate cycle. The specific hypothesis is that the sequential filter can produce valuable signals of cyclical peaks and troughs in interest rates. The analysis focusses on US interest rates from April 1953 to December 1988.

Dr Ivo Pezzuto is a professor of business administration and a management consultant. He holds a BS degree in business administration from NYU Stern School of Business (USA), an MBA degree from SDA Bocconi School of Management (ITALY), and a DBA degree from SMC University (SWITZERLAND) on corporate governance. He teaches courses at undergraduate, graduate, and doctoral levels and specializes in corporate education and executive seminars. He is professor of business administration at SMC University in Zurich; Fondazione ISTUD Business School in Baveno; Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore of Milan; and guest lecturer at MIP School of Management of Politecnico di Milano. Prior to his academic career he was Senior Manager in Accenture, Head of Product Development and Portfolio Management for American Express Europe, and more recently Vice President (Credit Cards Division - Europe) for Diners Club. He has authored many journal articles and contributed to a number of books.